Porto U15 vs Penafiel U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.9%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11.6%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.5%
1.5%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
1º
1º
15
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FEI
1 - 7
POR
6%
13%
80%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
POR
6%
13%
82%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TBR
1 - 2
POR
9%
15%
77%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
POR
5 - 1
ESP
94%
5%
1%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BOA
0 - 2
POR
12%
17%
71%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
AVC
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VBF
1 - 0
PEN
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 1
PEN
48%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
FEI
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |