Operário vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 4
OPE
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OPE
4 - 2
ALJ
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 1
LUS
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
MOU
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
QUA
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
TIR
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TIR
2 - 2
FAM
39%
28%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 1
UDL
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 0
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RIB
0 - 0
TIR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |