Operário vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
4 - 1
ANM
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
OPE
15%
23%
63%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 0
OLE
85%
12%
3%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 4
TON
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BEN
37%
29%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 3
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |