Operário MT vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
OPE
2 - 2
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
OPE
22%
22%
56%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
OPE
1 - 0
URO
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 1
OPE
22%
22%
56%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
URO
2 - 3
OPE
24%
23%
54%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
URO
1 - 2
VIL
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
OPE
22%
22%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 0
URO
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 1
GRE
44%
23%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |