Ontinyent CF vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DEN
2 - 1
ONT
40%
28%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 0
ONT
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ONT
1 - 1
ALC
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 3
ONT
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ONT
0 - 2
DEN
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
UDP
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PEG
3 - 0
ELC
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
PEG
71%
20%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 3
ONT
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
OND
2 - 1
PEG
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |