Onsala vs Hittarps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
9º
1º
28
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
OBK
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OBK
1 - 0
HFF
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LAH
2 - 0
OBK
19%
22%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAV
0 - 2
OBK
21%
22%
58%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OBK
2 - 1
NFF
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Hittarps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LIS
1 - 1
HIT
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HIT
4 - 2
SAV
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HFF
3 - 1
HIT
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NFF
0 - 2
HIT
21%
19%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HIT
2 - 1
LIN
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |