Onda vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
DEN
2 - 0
OND
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
OND
5 - 1
VCF
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ELD
2 - 2
OND
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
OND
2 - 2
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPO
0 - 0
OND
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 1
BUR
52%
26%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 2
PEG
66%
22%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 3
LEV
28%
28%
44%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 2
DEN
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 1
PEG
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |