Copa El Salvador . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Once Lobos vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
ONC
79%
14%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
MET
2 - 2
ONC
30%
22%
48%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
ONC
3 - 2
MET
35%
22%
43%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
ONC
2 - 1
JCS
83%
12%
4%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
JCS
3 - 2
ONC
5%
11%
83%
|
59 | 16 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
ONC
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 0
SFC
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
JOC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
24%
68%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 0
ALI
9%
21%
71%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
6 - 0
ADS
92%
7%
1%
|
77 | 12 | 65 | 0 |