Once Deportivo U20 vs Santa Tecla U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
10º
9º
45
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LAF
1 - 0
ONC
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 1
ISI
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ONC
3 - 0
DRA
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
ONC
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 0
ONC
79%
14%
8%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STE
6 - 0
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 3
STE
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 6
STE
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 2
STE
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |