J2 League Normal Season Round 29

RB Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis

RB Omiya Ardija V-Varen Nagasaki
61 ELO 64
-5% Tilt 0.2%
1363º General ELO ranking 684º
30º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
34.2%
RB Omiya Ardija
26.5%
Draw
39.3%
V-Varen Nagasaki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
RB Omiya Ardija
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.3%
Win probability
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
RB Omiya Ardija
+4%
+2%
V-Varen Nagasaki

ELO progression

RB Omiya Ardija
V-Varen Nagasaki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RB Omiya Ardija
RB Omiya Ardija
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2020
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 - 1
RB Omiya Ardija
OMI
40%
27%
33%
60 60 0 0
18 Oct. 2020
FAG
Fagiano Okayama
3 - 2
RB Omiya Ardija
OMI
37%
28%
35%
61 60 1 -1
14 Oct. 2020
OMI
RB Omiya Ardija
0 - 0
JEF United
JEF
58%
23%
18%
61 55 6 0
10 Oct. 2020
OMI
RB Omiya Ardija
0 - 0
Tochigi
TOC
56%
24%
19%
61 58 3 0
03 Oct. 2020
TOK
Tokyo Verdy
3 - 1
RB Omiya Ardija
OMI
48%
26%
27%
62 61 1 -1

Matches

V-Varen Nagasaki
V-Varen Nagasaki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2020
EHI
Ehime
1 - 4
V-Varen Nagasaki
VVA
17%
24%
60%
64 51 13 0
17 Oct. 2020
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
VVA
40%
26%
34%
64 62 2 0
14 Oct. 2020
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
1 - 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
VVA
53%
23%
24%
64 66 2 0
10 Oct. 2020
VVA
V-Varen Nagasaki
4 - 3
Renofa Yamaguchi
REN
64%
21%
15%
64 53 11 0
04 Oct. 2020
TOC
Tochigi
0 - 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
VVA
25%
27%
48%
63 58 5 +1