Omiya Ardija vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
KAA
1 - 0
OMI
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 1
NAG
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VEG
4 - 1
OMI
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
OMI
1 - 1
FCY
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
OMI
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
VEG
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KAW
0 - 1
CER
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
JUB
2 - 1
CER
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
GAM
33%
23%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 0
CER
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |