WAFF Championship Group Stages Round 1

Oman vs Lebanon analysis

Oman Lebanon
80 ELO 61
-12.7% Tilt -2.4%
643º General ELO ranking 2543º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
71.9%
Oman
17.9%
Draw
10.2%
Lebanon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
Oman
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
10.2%
Win probability
Lebanon
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oman
-5%
+4%
Lebanon

ELO progression

Oman
Lebanon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oman
Oman
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2012
OMA
Oman
1 - 2
Japan
JPN
19%
25%
56%
81 90 9 0
08 Nov. 2012
OMA
Oman
1 - 2
Estonia
EST
57%
24%
19%
81 73 8 0
16 Oct. 2012
OMA
Oman
2 - 1
Jordan
JOR
47%
27%
26%
81 79 2 0
11 Sep. 2012
IRL
Ireland
4 - 1
Oman
OMA
69%
20%
11%
82 91 9 -1
15 Aug. 2012
OMA
Oman
1 - 1
Egypt
EGY
24%
28%
48%
82 89 7 0

Matches

Lebanon
Lebanon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2012
QAT
Qatar
1 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
70%
19%
11%
60 79 19 0
11 Sep. 2012
LBN
Lebanon
1 - 0
Iran
IRN
17%
27%
57%
60 89 29 0
06 Sep. 2012
LBN
Lebanon
0 - 3
Australia
AUS
13%
25%
62%
60 89 29 0
12 Jun. 2012
KOR
South Korea
3 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
78%
15%
7%
61 90 29 -1
08 Jun. 2012
LBN
Lebanon
1 - 1
Uzbekistan
UZB
19%
22%
60%
60 78 18 +1