Olympique Marseille vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
MAR
24%
27%
49%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 0
PSV
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
NAN
1 - 1
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 4
PSG
61%
23%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 1
NIC
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
GRE
48%
28%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 4
LOR
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LOR
3 - 0
NAN
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PSG
3 - 2
LOR
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |