Greek Super League Round 9

Olympiacos vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis

Olympiacos Aris Thessaloniki
83 ELO 76
9.7% Tilt 6.9%
446º General ELO ranking 474º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.8%
Olympiacos
19.1%
Draw
13.2%
Aris Thessaloniki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
Olympiacos
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
Aris Thessaloniki
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olympiacos
+45%
-2%
Aris Thessaloniki

ELO progression

Olympiacos
Aris Thessaloniki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olympiacos
Olympiacos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 1996
EDE
Edessaikos
2 - 3
Olympiacos
OLP
31%
25%
44%
83 68 15 0
03 Nov. 1996
OLP
Olympiacos
0 - 0
Panachaiki
PAN
79%
14%
7%
83 69 14 0
26 Oct. 1996
ATH
Athinaikos
0 - 1
Olympiacos
OLP
21%
26%
53%
83 69 14 0
19 Oct. 1996
APS
Apollon Smyrnis
0 - 3
Olympiacos
OLP
27%
27%
46%
83 73 10 0
13 Oct. 1996
OLP
Olympiacos
2 - 2
Kalamata FC
KAL
83%
12%
5%
83 65 18 0

Matches

Aris Thessaloniki
Aris Thessaloniki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 1996
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
0 - 0
PAOK
PAO
29%
27%
44%
76 83 7 0
02 Nov. 1996
VER
Veria NPS
1 - 1
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
31%
27%
43%
76 65 11 0
27 Oct. 1996
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
0 - 0
Panathinaikos
PAN
31%
28%
41%
76 83 7 0
20 Oct. 1996
ION
Ionikos Nikea
4 - 1
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
42%
27%
32%
77 71 6 -1
13 Oct. 1996
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
1 - 2
Paniliakos
PAN
64%
22%
14%
77 67 10 0