Olvega SD vs Ariza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
44%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olvega SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 5
OLV
26%
23%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
OLV
2 - 1
ATE
33%
23%
43%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 0
OLV
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OLV
1 - 0
LUC
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PRA
2 - 2
OLV
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARI
4 - 1
BOQ
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 1
CDM
43%
25%
33%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
ARI
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 1
ATE
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARI
29%
20%
51%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |