FC AGMK vs Surkhon Termez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
2º
23
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 54 |
1º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 54 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 52 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 39 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 29 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
BUX
3 - 1
OLM
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
NAV
3 - 0
OLM
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 0
SHO
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
NAS
2 - 1
OLM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
OLM
2 - 2
NEF
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SHO
2 - 1
TER
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
TER
0 - 0
NEF
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
AND
2 - 1
TER
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
SOG
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
TER
1 - 3
FCL
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 13 | 53 | +1 |