FC AGMK vs Shurtan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
4º
10
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 55 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 55 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 54 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 54 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 46 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 33 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 30 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 29 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 19 |
16º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
NAS
2 - 1
OLM
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
OLM
2 - 2
NEF
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
OLM
12 - 1
NFA
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
QOQ
1 - 3
OLM
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
OLM
4 - 3
AND
54%
23%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
NEF
4 - 0
SHO
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 0
AND
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
SHO
6 - 0
IFK
86%
10%
3%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 1
SHO
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 3
DSA
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |