FC AGMK vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
1º
33
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 55 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 50 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 48 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 37 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 30 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
31% | 14.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
25.5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
OLM
12 - 1
NFA
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
QOQ
1 - 3
OLM
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
OLM
4 - 3
AND
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BUN
1 - 0
OLM
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
OLM
3 - 2
NAS
56%
22%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
NEF
4 - 0
PFK
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
AND
0 - 2
NEF
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
NEF
2 - 1
SOG
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
NEF
3 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 11 | 54 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NEF
0 - 4
PAK
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |