Oliver vs Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
RAN
2 - 3
OLI
20%
20%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
5 - 2
MIR
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAG
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 3
OLI
25%
22%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
AJU
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PAD
3 - 2
SAG
6%
12%
82%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 2
PAD
61%
20%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 1
AJU
22%
20%
58%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
PAD
60%
19%
21%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 1
BEB
18%
20%
62%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |