Oliveira Frades vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Frades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 3
OFR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
OFR
4 - 0
MAN
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
OFR
1 - 2
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
OFR
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
OFR
3 - 1
TAR
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 3
LUS
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
GAF
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
GAF
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 2
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |