Oliveira de Frades vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira de Frades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
OLI
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALB
41%
25%
35%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
OLI
54%
22%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 3
AVA
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
OLI
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FAT
0 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 0
EST
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 2
GDP
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
PEN
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |