Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira de Frades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
OLI
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 2
GAF
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
OLI
75%
16%
10%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
BUS
27%
24%
50%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 0
LUS
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 2
SAN
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BUS
0 - 0
LUS
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOR
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |