Oliveira Douro vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Douro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 0
ODO
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ODO
1 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
ODO
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ODO
3 - 2
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RTI
0 - 1
ODO
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CES
1 - 1
LUS
44%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CES
2 - 1
OLI
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LUS
3 - 2
CES
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CES
0 - 4
FAM
20%
28%
52%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |