Olimpo vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DYJ
1 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
CDN
70%
19%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 1
ALD
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DHA
0 - 2
OLI
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 1
GBR
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
GBR
4 - 2
JUU
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 0
GBR
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GBR
2 - 2
MAI
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GBR
4 - 3
CIP
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |