Olimpo vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 2
OLI
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 3
GLP
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 3
OLI
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
GIM
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
GBR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 1
MER
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
HUR
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 0
MER
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MER
2 - 3
SAR
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |