Olimpo vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 1
ALD
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DHA
0 - 2
OLI
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALM
57%
24%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 1
OLI
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
PAT
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
BUC
4 - 0
CDN
48%
24%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDN
1 - 0
CHI
38%
27%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
CDN
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
CDN
1 - 2
HUR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CDN
0 - 1
CEN
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |