Olimpo vs Circulo Deportivo analysis


65	ELO	45
2.4%	Tilt	-4.3%
1236º	General ELO ranking	4676º
68º	Country ELO ranking	126º
ELO win probability

78%

Olimpo

15.6%

Draw

6.5%

Circulo Deportivo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

77.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%

15.6%

Draw

0-0

6.3%

1-1

7%

2-2

2%

3-3

0.2%

4-4

<0%

0

15.6%

6.5%

Win probability

0.49

Expected goals

0-1

3.1%

1-2

1.7%

2-3

0.3%

3-4

0%

-1

5.2%

0-2

0.8%

1-3

0.3%

2-4

0%

-2

1.1%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.2%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-13%

+34%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

69

1º

2º

1º

29

6º

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

8º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	69	72	1º	100%
2º	64	67	2º	100%
3º	46	46	3º	92.5%
5º	41	44	4º	58%
4º	43	43	5º	58%
6º	38	38	6º	100%
7º	34	34	7º	100%
8º	29	29	8º	100%
9º	24	24	9º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	100%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olimpo

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 May. 2023	CSS 2 - 3 OLI 11% 21% 67%	64	14	50	0
13 May. 2023	OLI 3 - 1 GER 75% 17% 8%	64	48	16	0
07 May. 2023	OLI 1 - 1 CIP 77% 16% 6%	64	48	16	0
01 May. 2023	RSA 0 - 0 OLI 22% 27% 52%	64	54	10	0
23 Apr. 2023	OLI 1 - 0 VIL 59% 25% 16%	63	60	3	+1

Matches

Circulo Deportivo

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 May. 2023	CDC 1 - 0 CSS 87% 9% 3%	45	14	31	0
17 May. 2023	GER 0 - 1 CDC 50% 26% 24%	45	48	3	0
13 May. 2023	CDC 2 - 1 CIP 32% 28% 41%	43	49	6	+2
07 May. 2023	CDC 0 - 1 RSA 18% 24% 57%	43	55	12	0
28 Apr. 2023	VIL 3 - 1 CDC 72% 19% 9%	44	59	15	-1