Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 3-2
NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 0
ROG
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 1
OLI
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCK
2 - 1
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAL
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 1
OLI
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
LUD
5 - 0
ETA
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
LUD
4 - 0
KFB
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FLK
3 - 1
LUD
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
KFB
2 - 0
LUD
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |