Poland Fourth Division Group 1 Round 15

Olimpia Zambrow vs Jagiellonia II analysis

Olimpia Zambrow Jagiellonia II
39 ELO 45
7.9% Tilt -11%
6970º General ELO ranking 4869º
143º Country ELO ranking 105º
ELO win probability
37.9%
Olimpia Zambrow
23.6%
Draw
38.5%
Jagiellonia II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
Olimpia Zambrow
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.5%
Win probability
Jagiellonia II
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Olimpia Zambrow
-10%
-6%
Jagiellonia II

ELO progression

Olimpia Zambrow
Jagiellonia II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Olimpia Zambrow
Olimpia Zambrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
KSL
KS Legionovia Legionowo
0 - 0
Olimpia Zambrow
OLI
60%
22%
19%
40 44 4 0
21 Oct. 2023
OLI
Olimpia Zambrow
4 - 0
Wikielec
WIK
45%
25%
30%
38 41 3 +2
14 Oct. 2023
WSI
Warta Sieradz
0 - 2
Olimpia Zambrow
OLI
43%
24%
34%
37 35 2 +1
07 Oct. 2023
OLI
Olimpia Zambrow
3 - 1
Victoria Sulejówek
MVS
42%
22%
36%
35 39 4 +2
29 Sep. 2023
LOM
LKS Łomża
0 - 0
Olimpia Zambrow
OLI
32%
23%
45%
35 27 8 0

Matches

Jagiellonia II
Jagiellonia II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2023
JAG
Jagiellonia II
3 - 2
GKS Bełchatów
GKS
46%
25%
30%
43 44 1 0
21 Oct. 2023
JAG
Jagiellonia II
1 - 1
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
LTM
29%
24%
47%
42 48 6 +1
18 Oct. 2023
KSL
KS Legionovia Legionowo
4 - 2
Jagiellonia II
JAG
49%
23%
28%
44 45 1 -2
07 Oct. 2023
JAG
Jagiellonia II
1 - 2
Wikielec
WIK
61%
22%
18%
44 39 5 0
30 Sep. 2023
WSI
Warta Sieradz
0 - 1
Jagiellonia II
JAG
26%
24%
51%
43 36 7 +1