Olimpia Grudziadz vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Grudziadz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BYT
2 - 2
OLI
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 1
ROZ
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ROD
2 - 4
OLI
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
WLO
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ARK
0 - 2
OLI
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LPO
0 - 0
KOR
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
LPO
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
WIS
2 - 0
LPO
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
LPO
1 - 3
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
LPO
2 - 1
GDA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |