Olimpia FC vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SJU
3 - 3
OFC
53%
22%
26%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MDP
6 - 0
OFC
68%
19%
13%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OFC
1 - 4
RSC
22%
24%
54%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CDV
2 - 1
OFC
81%
13%
6%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ADT
1 - 0
OFC
40%
21%
39%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
RSC
5 - 2
SRO
66%
20%
14%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
RSC
0 - 0
CDV
32%
25%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OFC
1 - 4
RSC
22%
24%
54%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
RSC
0 - 0
SJU
56%
23%
22%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
RSC
46%
25%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |