Olimpia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 0
LQE
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 3
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
12O
0 - 1
LIB
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
5 - 0
GUT
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |