Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 2
OLI
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
AME
1 - 2
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 1
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
RÑU
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 4
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |