Olimpia vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLI
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 2
RÑU
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
DEP
57%
21%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 2
GEN
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |