Olimpia vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
OLI
46%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
JLM
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 3
LQE
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
OLI
42%
28%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPO
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
RES
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RÑU
0 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |