Ukraine Third Division Group B Round 17

Oleksandriya II vs Chernihiv analysis

Oleksandriya II Chernihiv
37 ELO 55
-1.7% Tilt -4.1%
7086º General ELO ranking 3388º
59º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
26.6%
Oleksandriya II
24.8%
Draw
48.6%
Chernihiv

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
Oleksandriya II
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.6%
Win probability
Chernihiv
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oleksandriya II
+591%
+54%
Chernihiv

Points and table prediction

Oleksandriya II
Their league position
Chernihiv
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kolos Kovalivka II
39
39
100%
Chernihiv
38
38
100%
Lokomotiv Kyiv
30
30
89%
Hirnyk-Sport
28
28
89%
Oleksandriya II
27
27
89%
FK Trostyanets
22
22
100%
Chayka
18
21
89%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv II
18
18
89%
Nyva Vinnytsya
16
16
100%
Vorskla Poltava II
10º
12
12
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Oleksandriya II
Chernihiv
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Oleksandriya II
Chernihiv
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oleksandriya II
Oleksandriya II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2025
KOL
Kolos Kovalivka II
1 - 1
Oleksandriya II
OLE
45%
22%
33%
37 37 0 0
26 Apr. 2025
OLE
Oleksandriya II
0 - 1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv II
MKI
85%
10%
5%
38 14 24 -1
19 Apr. 2025
OLE
Oleksandriya II
1 - 1
Vorskla Poltava II
VOR
85%
10%
5%
38 14 24 0
11 Apr. 2025
FKT
FK Trostyanets
1 - 1
Oleksandriya II
OLE
56%
23%
22%
37 46 9 +1
27 Oct. 2024
OLE
Oleksandriya II
4 - 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
24%
24%
53%
30 51 21 +7

Matches

Chernihiv
Chernihiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
FKC
Chernihiv
4 - 0
Vorskla Poltava II
VOR
73%
17%
10%
54 14 40 0
26 Apr. 2025
FKT
FK Trostyanets
0 - 0
Chernihiv
FKC
29%
25%
45%
54 43 11 0
19 Apr. 2025
FKC
Chernihiv
2 - 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
56%
24%
20%
54 49 5 0
11 Apr. 2025
FCL
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0 - 3
Chernihiv
FKC
27%
25%
48%
53 39 14 +1
25 Oct. 2024
FKC
Chernihiv
1 - 2
Hirnyk-Sport
HSP
50%
24%
26%
54 50 4 -1