Premier League round 11

Oleksandriya vs Inhulets analysis

Oleksandriya Inhulets
85 ELO 77
3.8% Tilt -9.8%
230º General ELO ranking 696º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Oleksandriya
20.9%
Draw
15%
Inhulets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
Oleksandriya
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
Inhulets
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oleksandriya
+2%
-4%
Inhulets

Points and table prediction

Oleksandriya
Their league position
Inhulets
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
23
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dynamo Kyiv
68
71
99%
Oleksandriya
63
67
97.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk
58
61
98.5%
Karpaty Lviv
46
49
77.5%
Polissya Zhytomyr
44
47
43%
FC Kryvbas
43
46
54.5%
Rukh Lviv
37
40
45%
Zorya Luhansk
37
40
36.5%
Veres Rivne
35
38
51.5%
Kolos Kovalivka
10º
32
35
10º
60%
LNZ Cherkasy
12º
29
32
11º
44.5%
Obolon
11º
29
32
12º
52.5%
Vorskla Poltava
13º
25
28
13º
54%
Livyi Bereh
15º
23
26
14º
36.5%
Inhulets
14º
23
26
15º
36.5%
Chornomorets Odessa
16º
21
24
16º
66%
Expected probabilities
Oleksandriya
Inhulets
Champions League qualifying phase
1% 0%
Conference League knock out round
97.5% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
1.5% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 46.5%
Relegation
0% 53.5%

ELO progression

Oleksandriya
Inhulets
Shakhtar Donetsk
Chornomorets Odessa
Vorskla Poltava
Veres Rivne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oleksandriya
Oleksandriya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
PFC
Oleksandriya
1 - 0
Vorskla Poltava
VOR
55%
23%
22%
85 82 3 0
13 Oct. 2024
PFC
Oleksandriya
4 - 2
FC Kryvbas
HKR
59%
22%
19%
84 81 3 +1
05 Oct. 2024
PFC
Oleksandriya
1 - 1
Rukh Lviv
RYV
53%
24%
23%
84 83 1 0
28 Sep. 2024
HKR
FC Kryvbas
0 - 1
Oleksandriya
PFC
43%
26%
32%
84 81 3 0
21 Sep. 2024
PFC
Oleksandriya
2 - 0
Livyi Bereh
LIV
76%
15%
10%
84 72 12 0

Matches

Inhulets
Inhulets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2024
LNZ
LNZ Cherkasy
2 - 0
Inhulets
INH
48%
27%
25%
77 80 3 0
04 Oct. 2024
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
0 - 0
Inhulets
INH
56%
23%
21%
77 79 2 0
29 Sep. 2024
OBO
Obolon
2 - 1
Inhulets
INH
34%
28%
38%
77 73 4 0
22 Sep. 2024
FCV
Veres Rivne
2 - 2
Inhulets
INH
47%
26%
27%
77 76 1 0
14 Sep. 2024
CHO
Chornomorets Odessa
1 - 0
Inhulets
INH
42%
27%
32%
77 74 3 0