Checkatrade Trophy Semi-finals
Global 3-6
Oldham Athletic AFC vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
BOU
4 - 0
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
BPO
2 - 0
OLD
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 2
SWI
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
OLD
0 - 1
BOL
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 1
TRA
47%
24%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 1
GUL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
WAL
2 - 2
WRE
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
WRE
0 - 0
DON
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
HER
1 - 2
WRE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 4
WRE
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |