Carabao Cup Semi-finals

Global 6-3

Oldham Athletic AFC vs West Ham analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC West Ham
76 ELO 75
24.1% Tilt 6.8%
3827º General ELO ranking 79º
99º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Oldham Athletic AFC
20.2%
Draw
21%
West Ham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21%
Win probability
West Ham
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
West Ham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 1990
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Stoke City
STO
83%
12%
5%
74 58 16 0
03 Feb. 1990
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
44%
26%
31%
74 67 7 0
31 Jan. 1990
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Southampton
SOU
39%
23%
38%
73 83 10 +1
27 Jan. 1990
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
81%
11%
7%
73 61 12 0
24 Jan. 1990
SOU
Southampton
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
76%
14%
10%
72 83 11 +1

Matches

West Ham
West Ham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 1990
WHU
West Ham
3 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
72%
18%
10%
76 61 15 0
31 Jan. 1990
WHU
West Ham
2 - 1
Derby County
DER
48%
25%
27%
75 81 6 +1
24 Jan. 1990
DER
Derby County
0 - 0
West Ham
WHU
64%
20%
16%
75 81 6 0
20 Jan. 1990
WHU
West Ham
1 - 2
Hull City
HUL
75%
17%
9%
76 59 17 -1
17 Jan. 1990
WHU
West Ham
1 - 1
Derby County
DER
48%
25%
27%
76 81 5 0