Championship Round 23

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Reading analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Reading
67 ELO 58
8.7% Tilt -4.5%
3755º General ELO ranking 1539º
94º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
73%
Oldham Athletic AFC
15.7%
Draw
11.4%
Reading

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.4%
Win probability
Reading
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
+19%
-2%
Reading

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Reading
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 1930
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
4 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
73%
16%
12%
68 72 4 0
26 Dec. 1930
WOL
Wolves
3 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
65%
19%
17%
69 68 1 -1
25 Dec. 1930
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Wolves
WOL
56%
21%
23%
68 69 1 +1
20 Dec. 1930
BRA
Bradford City
0 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
47%
25%
28%
68 60 8 0
13 Dec. 1930
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 3
Charlton Athletic
CHA
77%
13%
9%
69 62 7 -1

Matches

Reading
Reading
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Dec. 1930
REA
Reading
1 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
41%
26%
32%
58 71 13 0
26 Dec. 1930
REA
Reading
5 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
49%
25%
26%
57 62 5 +1
25 Dec. 1930
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Reading
REA
72%
16%
12%
57 63 6 0
20 Dec. 1930
BCF
Bury
2 - 2
Reading
REA
78%
13%
8%
57 72 15 0
13 Dec. 1930
REA
Reading
1 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
61%
20%
19%
57 58 1 0