League One Jor. 11

Oldham Athletic AFC vs Notts County analysis

Oldham Athletic AFC Notts County
58 ELO 56
5.7% Tilt -5.3%
3561º General ELO ranking 2148º
119º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
49.5%
Oldham Athletic AFC
24.5%
Draw
26%
Notts County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26%
Win probability
Notts County
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Oldham Athletic AFC
-15%
-7%
Notts County

ELO progression

Oldham Athletic AFC
Notts County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2001
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
4 - 0
Bury
BCF
66%
21%
13%
56 47 9 0
22 Sep. 2001
BRE
Brentford
2 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
54%
24%
22%
56 56 0 0
18 Sep. 2001
COL
Colchester United
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
51%
25%
25%
56 55 1 0
15 Sep. 2001
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
2 - 0
Peterborough United
POS
52%
25%
24%
56 56 0 0
12 Sep. 2001
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
76%
16%
8%
56 78 22 0

Matches

Notts County
Notts County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2001
NOT
Notts County
1 - 0
Peterborough United
POS
51%
25%
24%
57 58 1 0
22 Sep. 2001
COL
Colchester United
0 - 1
Notts County
NOT
51%
24%
25%
56 56 0 +1
18 Sep. 2001
TRA
Tranmere Rovers
4 - 2
Notts County
NOT
58%
22%
20%
57 60 3 -1
15 Sep. 2001
NOT
Notts County
0 - 0
Brentford
BRE
54%
24%
23%
57 56 1 0
11 Sep. 2001
NOT
Notts County
2 - 4
Manchester City
MAC
26%
24%
50%
57 73 16 0
X