Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
PNE
0 - 2
OLD
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEY
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
OLD
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ROT
3 - 2
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
CUM
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STF
2 - 2
CUM
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 1
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
STE
1 - 3
CUM
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CUM
1 - 0
SHE
37%
27%
37%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |