Old Road vs Sea View Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
ORO
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
EGF
0 - 2
ORO
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
ORO
0 - 1
ALL
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ORO
2 - 0
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
ORO
1 - 1
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sea View Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
SEA
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 0
SEA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SEA
1 - 1
HOP
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
PBU
0 - 1
SEA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SEA
4 - 1
WIL
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |