Old Road vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
ORO
1 - 1
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 1
ORO
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ORO
1 - 0
PBU
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
HOP
1 - 2
ORO
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
SEA
1 - 2
ORO
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 0
EGF
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAP
2 - 3
HOP
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
SAP
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAP
0 - 3
WIL
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
HOP
4 - 1
SAP
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |