Olbia Calcio vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
OLB
1 - 1
PON
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GER
2 - 2
OLB
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OLB
1 - 1
JS2
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 0
OLB
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
OLB
0 - 3
ASS
18%
26%
56%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
SIE
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
SIE
1 - 1
JS2
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NOV
4 - 0
SIE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
SIE
0 - 1
TER
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 0
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |