Olbia Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
JS2
1 - 1
OLB
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
OLB
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
OLB
3 - 0
COM
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 0
GER
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
OLB
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIS
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
NOV
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 1
NOV
37%
29%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |