Olbia Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ACP
1 - 0
OLB
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LIV
2 - 1
OLB
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
USA
4 - 0
OLB
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
OLB
3 - 0
GER
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ARZ
3 - 0
OLB
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 3
GER
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
ASL
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ASL
2 - 1
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACP
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |