Olaria vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 1
OLA
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
OLA
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OLA
2 - 1
ADC
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
OLA
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
4 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
RES
3 - 3
AUD
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CMA
1 - 0
RES
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 1
RES
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RES
0 - 0
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
RES
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |