Carioca A2 Eliminatorias. Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Olaria vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 2
PET
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
OLA
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 1
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
OLA
0 - 0
RES
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
OLA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 2
PET
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
RES
38%
27%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
PET
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
FRI
71%
20%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
PET
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |