Okean Nakhodka vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Okean Nakhodka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
OKN
3 - 0
AMU
46%
27%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
SIB
1 - 0
OKN
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
IRT
3 - 1
OKN
60%
23%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
YEN
1 - 0
OKN
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
OKN
2 - 0
SIB
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SIB
0 - 3
SME
30%
28%
43%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
SME
2 - 0
YEN
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
SME
0 - 1
FCC
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
KUK
0 - 2
SME
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SIB
3 - 2
SME
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |